In a previous preview, Corner-stats.com team successfully predicted total corners over in Middlesbrough-Leeds match (2:9 corners score). Today we continue to analyze corners and look at Super League of Greece.
In the previous game week, Olympiacos lost to direct competitor PAOK and actually lost its chances of winning the national championship this season. Now Olympiacos is facing another important match against AEK, who seeks to shift Olympiakos from 2nd place (a ticket to Champions League for the next season), at the moment the teams are divided by 5 points (including 3 points taken away from AEK by the Greek Federation).
An important factor in the upcoming match is the participation of Olympiacos in Europa League, the team played a very hard match against Dynamo Kyiv (2:2) just a few days ago, and in a week will play a return match in Kyiv. Based on this, we can assume that the players are tired, and besides this, the team will save power for Europa League. Corner-stats.com team believes that Olympiakos, although it is a favorite in the match, will play defensive football, therefore, there should be few corners.
Let's support our opinion on the total corners under with statistics (bookmakers set Asian total corners 9 on an equal line):
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9 out of 14 (+ 2 returns) of the last H2H matches of teams in the seasons 2015-2019;
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3 out of 10 (+1 refund) home games of Olympiacos in season 2018/19;
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5 of 9 (+ 2 returns) of AEK away matches in the 2018/19 season;
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3 out of 6 (+ 2 returns) home games of Olympiacos with teams similar to AEK in the 2017-2019 seasons (this statistics can be seen in the screenshot below);
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5 out of 8 (+ 1 return) of AEK away matches with teams similar to Olympiacos in the 2017-2019 seasons.
The team of the site Corner-stats.com considers the bet on the Asian total corners under 9 at odds 1.88 at Bet365 to be valuable.